Prognóza vývoje na trhu služeb veřejného cloudu

Společnost Gartner dnes publikovala tiskovou zprávu, která shrnuje aktuální prognózu vývoje na světovém trhu služeb veřejného cloudu. Podle analytiků porostou služby veřejného cloudu v letošním roce o 18,5 procenta a dosáhnou celkové hodnoty 260,2 miliardy dolarů. Více podrobností k situaci na světovém trhu obsahuje přiložený text (anglicky). Co se našeho regionu týče (region Střední a Východní Evropa bez Ruska), naroste podle odhadů analytiků trh služeb veřejného cloudu do roku 2021 na 3,51 miliardy dolarů ve srovnání s 1,31 miliardami v roce 2016 – jeho složená roční míra růstu (CAGR) tak bude 21,7 %. Nejrychleji porostou segmenty aplikačních služeb (SaaS – CAGR 28,7 %), systémově-infrastrukturních služeb (IaaS – CAGR 22,8 %) a aplikačně-infrastrukturních služeb (PaaS – CAGR 21,1 %), nejpomaleji pak porostou byznysově-procesní služby (BPaaS – CAGR 3,5 %).

Gartner Forecasts Worldwide Public Cloud Services Revenue to Reach $260 Billion in 2017

Strong SaaS and IaaS Performance Is Driving Growth in 2017

Egham, UK, 12th October, 2017 — The worldwide public cloud services market revenue is projected to grow 18.5 per cent in 2017 to total $260.2 billion, up from $219.6 billion in 2016, according to Gartner, Inc.

„Final data for 2016 shows that software as a service (SaaS) revenue was far greater in 2016 than expected, reaching $48.2 billion,“ said Sid Nag, research director at Gartner. „SaaS is also growing faster in 2017 than previously forecast, leading to a significant uplift in the entire public cloud revenue forecast.“

SaaS revenue is expected to grow 21 per cent in 2017 to reach $58.6 billion (see Table 1.) The acceleration in SaaS adoption can be explained by providers delivering nearly all application functional extensions and add-ons as a service. This appeals to users because SaaS solutions are engineered to be more purpose-built and are delivering better business outcomes than traditional software is.

„Strategic adoption of platform as a service (PaaS) offerings is also outperforming previous expectations, as enterprise-scale organisations are increasingly confident that PaaS will be their primary form of application development platform in the future,“ said Mr Nag. „This accounts for the remainder of the increase in this iteration of Gartner’s public cloud services revenue forecast.“

The highest revenue growth will come from cloud system infrastructure services (infrastructure as a service [IaaS]), which is projected to grow 36.6 per cent in 2017 to reach $34.7 billion.

Table 1. Worldwide Public Cloud Services Revenue Forecast (Billions of US Dollars)

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Cloud Business Process Services (BPaaS) 39.6 42.2 45.8 49.5 53.6
Cloud Application Infrastructure Services (PaaS) 9.0 11.4 14.2 17.3 20.8
Cloud Application Services (SaaS) 48.2 58.6 71.2 84.8 99.7
Cloud Management and Security Services 7.1 8.7 10.3 12.0 13.9
Cloud System Infrastructure Services (IaaS) 25.4 34.7 45.8 58.4 72.4
Cloud Advertising 90.3 104.5 118.5 133.6 151.1
Total Market 219.6 260.2 305.8 355.6 411.4

Source: Gartner (October 2017)

Although public cloud revenue is growing more strongly than initially forecast, Gartner still expects growth even out from 2018 onwards. This stabilisation reflects the increasingly mainstream status and maturity that public cloud services will gain within a wider IT spending mix.

„As of 2016, approximately 17 per cent of the total market revenue for infrastructure, middleware, application and business process services had shifted to cloud,“ said Mr Nag. „Through 2021, this will increase to approximately 28 per cent.“

In terms of vendor share, Gartner expects 70 per cent of public cloud services revenue to be dominated by the top 10 public cloud providers through 2021. „In the IaaS segment, Amazon, Microsoft and Alibaba have already taken strong positions in the market,“ said Mr Nag. „In the SaaS and PaaS segments, we are seeing cloud’s impact driving major software vendors such as Oracle, SAP and Microsoft from on-premises, licence-based software to cloud subscription models.“

Gartner clients can read more in the reports: „Forecast Analysis: Public Cloud Services, Worldwide, 2Q17 Update“ and „Forecast: Public Cloud Services, Worldwide, 2015-2021, 2Q17 Update.“ Complimentary research and webinars are available at the Gartner Cloud Hub.

Gartner analysts will provide additional analysis on data centre and IT operations trends at the Gartner Global Infrastructure & Operations events 27-28 November, 2017 in London, 4-7 December, 2017 in Las Vegas and 15-17 May, 2018 in Orlando. Follow news and updates from these events on Twitter using #GartnerIO.

About Gartner

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