Společnost Gartner aktualizovala předpověď výdajů firem na IT v jednotlivých průmyslových vertikálách pro roky 2014 – 2016. Samostatná tisková zpráva k dispozici není, z příslušné analýzy ale vybírám alespoň hlavní závěry (anglicky) a data, která můžeme s médii sdílet – přehled očekávaných výdajů na IT podle vertikál v regionu východní Evropa. Eastern Europe: Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland + Rest of Eastern Europe = Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Estonia, Kosovo, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, Moldova, Montenegro, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia and Slovenia (TZ)
Z dokumentu „Forecast Alert: Enterprise IT Spending by Vertical Industry Market, Worldwide, 2011-2017, 4Q13 Update“:
The enterprise IT market will grow by 2.8% worldwide in 2014, reaching $2.75 trillion and reflecting a recovery after the persisting slowdown of the world economy, especially in Western Europe and Japan. Despite a weak recovery across Western Europe and a remarkable slowdown of the Latin American markets, the expected 2014 annual growth rate (AGR) is still buoyant. Over the longe term, the 2012 through 2017 compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is forecast at 2.9%. It is largel underpinned by some emerging markets within China and the Asia/Pacific region, at 7.6% and 7.3%, respectively. These markets will top the list while the mature Asia/Pacific markets will decline -0.1% for the same time frame, mainly due to the impact of the yen depreciation on Japanese revenue.
Currency fluctuations are hugely distorting demand trends in local markets when measured in U.S. dollars and are responsible for many of the changes detectable in our forecast numbers.
In terms of vertical industry markets, transportation, healthcare providers, and banking an securities will be the fastest-growing industries in 2014 with their AGR respectively at 3.9%, 3.9% and 3.7%. Notably, for 2014 all 11 industries are expected to have a positive AGR, even in the public sector.
For the long term, the 2012 through 2017 CAGR will see the same industries head over the top, but
in a different order: healthcare providers, banking and securities, and transportation. Th government industry is expected to gain a notable recovery with a CAGR of 1.0% due to the
gradual reduction of the austerity programs starting with 2016 and 2017.
| Forecast: Enterprise IT Spending by Vertical Industry Market, Eastern Europe, 4Q13 Update | |||||
| Market | 2012 YR | 2013 YR | 2014 YR | 2015 YR | 2016 YR |
| Banking & Securities Sum of End-User Spending($M) |
6,389 |
6,675 |
6,955 |
7,283 |
7,693 |
| Communications, Media & Services Sum of End-User Spending($M) |
7,979 |
8,193 |
8,542 |
8,874 |
9,317 |
| Education Sum of End-User Spending($M) |
998 |
1,010 |
1,037 |
1,073 |
1,120 |
| Government Sum of End-User Spending($M) |
5,966 |
6,010 |
6,093 |
6,234 |
6,459 |
| Healthcare Providers Sum of End-User Spending($M) |
1,594 |
1,648 |
1,719 |
1,794 |
1,872 |
| Insurance Sum of End-User Spending($M) |
2,954 |
3,075 |
3,182 |
3,284 |
3,427 |
| Manufacturing & Natural Resources Sum of End-User Spending($M) |
6,963 |
7,189 |
7,484 |
7,768 |
8,135 |
| Retail Sum of End-User Spending($M) |
1,887 |
1,959 |
2,015 |
2,075 |
2,146 |
| Transportation Sum of End-User Spending($M) |
1,863 |
1,922 |
1,996 |
2,064 |
2,153 |
| Utilities Sum of End-User Spending($M) |
2,447 |
2,515 |
2,597 |
2,683 |
2,790 |
| Wholesale Trade Sum of End-User Spending($M) |
946 |
983 |
1,018 |
1,049 |
1,087 |
| Total Sum of End-User Spending($M) |
39,987 |
41,178 |
42,638 |
44,180 |
46,196 |
| Total Growth % |
-0.52% |
2.98% |
3.54% |
3.62% |
4.56% |