Globální výdaje na IT vzrostou o dvě procenta na 3,7 bilionu dolarů.

Analytická společnost Gartner upravila svou prognózu globálních na informační technologie. Podle aktuálních předpokladů by měly v roce 2013 dosáhnout 3,7 bilionu dolarů, což by představovalo meziroční nárůst o 2,0 procenta. Aktualizovaná prognóza Gartner představuje snížení předpokládaného růstu globálního trhu IT, a sice o 2,1 procentního bodu. Tato úprava jde na vrub především změněnému odhadu vývoje kursů ostatních měn oproti americkému dolaru. Ve stálých kursech  by měly výdaje na IT vzrůst o 3,5 procenta; tento odhad se oproti předchozí prognóze prakticky nezměnil. (TZ)

Největšího růstu výdajů má podle Gartner dosáhnout segment firemního software, a sice o 6,4 procenta. Naopak náklady na telekomunikační služby mají vzrůst pouze o 0,9 procenta. Růst nákladů na přístroje nadále potáhnou především mobilní telefony (o 7,4 %), zatímco trh osobních počítačů podle Gartner výrazně neoživí ani nové přístroje, očekávané v letošním druhém pololetí.

Gartner Says Worldwide IT Spending on Pace to Reach $3.7 Trillion in 2013

Analysts to Discuss Latest IT Spending Outlook During Complimentary Gartner Webinar on 9 July

STAMFORD, Conn., July 2, 2013 — Worldwide IT spending is projected to total $3.7 trillion in 2013, a 2 per cent increase from 2012 spending of $3.6 trillion, according to the latest forecast by Gartner, Inc. Last quarter, Gartner’s forecast for 2013 IT spending growth in US dollars was 4.1 per cent. The 2.1 percentage point reduction mainly reflects the impact of recent fluctuations in US dollar exchange rates; growth in constant currency is forecast at 3.5 per cent for 2013, down only slightly from last quarter.

The Gartner Worldwide IT Spending Forecast is the leading indicator of major technology trends across the hardware, software, IT services and telecom markets. For more than a decade, global IT and business executives have been using these highly anticipated quarterly reports to recognize market opportunities and challenges, and base their critical business decisions on proven methodologies rather than guesswork.

„Exchange rate movements, and a reduction in our 2013 forecast for devices, account for the bulk of the downward revision of the 2013 growth,“ said Richard Gordon, managing vice president at Gartner. „Regionally, 2013 constant-currency spending growth in most regions has been lowered. However, Western Europe’s constant-currency growth has been inched up slightly as strategic IT initiatives in the region will continue despite a poor economic outlook.“

The forecast for spending on devices in 2013 has been revised down from 7.9 per cent growth in Gartner’s previous forecast to 2.8 per cent (see Table 1). The decline in PC sales, recorded in the first quarter of 2013, continued into the second quarter with little recovery expected during the second half of 2013. While new devices are set to hit the market in the second half of 2013, they will fail to compensate for the underlying weakness of the traditional PC market. The outlook for tablet revenue for 2013 is for growth of 38.9 per cent, while mobile phone revenue is projected to increase 9.3 per cent this year.

Table 1. Worldwide IT Spending Forecast (Billions of US Dollars)

2012

Spending

2012

Growth (%)

2013

Spending

2013

Growth (%)

2014

Spending

2014

Growth (%)

Devices

676

10.9

695

2.8

740

6.5

Data Centre Systems

140

1.8

143

2.1

149

4.1

Enterprise Software

285

4.7

304

6.4

324

6.6

IT Services

906

2.0

926

2.2

968

4.6

Telecom Services

1,641

-0.7

1,655

0.9

1,694

2.3

Overall IT

3,648

2.5

3,723

2.0

3,875

4.1

Source: Gartner (July 2013)

Enterprise software spending is on pace to grow 6.4 per cent in 2013. Growth expectations for customer relationship management have been raised to reflect expanded coverage into e-commerce, social and mobile. Expectations for digital content creation and operating systems have been reduced as software as a service and changing device demands impact traditional models and markets.

Telecom services spending is forecast to grow 0.9 per cent in 2013. Fixed broadband is showing slightly higher than anticipated growth. The impact of voice substitution is mixed as it is moving faster in the consumer sector, but slightly slower in the enterprise market.

More-detailed analysis on the outlook for the IT industry will be presented in the webinar „IT Spending Forecast, 2Q13 Update: The Impact of Mobility on Spending.“ The complimentary webinar will be hosted by Gartner on 9 July at 4:00pm UK time. During the webinar, Gartner analysts will discuss their latest thinking on IT spending growth through 2017. To register for the webinar, please visit

http://my.gartner.com/portal/server.pt?open=512&objID=202&mode=2&PageID=5553&resId=2481515&ref=Webinar-Calendar.

Gartner’s IT spending forecast methodology relies heavily on rigorous analysis of sales by thousands of vendors across the entire range of IT products and services. Gartner uses primary research techniques, complemented by secondary research sources, to build a comprehensive database of market size data upon which to base its forecast. The Gartner quarterly IT spending forecast delivers a unique perspective on IT spending across hardware, software, IT services and telecommunications segments. These reports help Gartner clients understand market opportunities and challenges. The most recent IT spending forecast research is available at http://www.gartner.com/technology/research/it-spending-forecast/. This Quarterly IT Spending Forecast section includes links to the latest IT spending reports, webinars, blog posts and press releases.

About Gartner

Gartner, Inc. (NYSE: IT) is the world’s leading information technology research and advisory company. Gartner delivers the technology-related insight necessary for its clients to make the right decisions, every day. From CIOs and senior IT leaders in corporations and government agencies, to business leaders in high-tech and telecom enterprises and professional services firms, to technology investors, Gartner is a valuable partner in more than 13,000 distinct organizations. Through the resources of Gartner Research, Gartner Executive Programs, Gartner Consulting and Gartner Events, Gartner works with every client to research, analyze and interpret the business of IT within the context of their individual role. Founded in 1979, Gartner is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, USA, and has 5,500 associates, including 1,402 research analysts and consultants, and clients in 85 countries. For more information, visit www.gartner.com.

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